Sadly it can be several things. My bet is the battery age. I have had starting problems when my old battery started to struggle, and the crank speed sensor, a smalll sensor that watched the flywheel, didnlt see the right sort of cranking revs ( approx 250rpm ). It still "seemed" to be cranking OK, but even to this day with a brand new top end battery if it has just been driven and has a good charge it fires up instantly, but if I leave it a good week, and the charge drops just a little, it takes a few more turns to fire. If you can borrow a battery charger, give it a good charge, and see if the problem continuues then you are onto the next step, and that's your coolant sensor. This obviously tells the engine if it is hot or cold, and alters both the glowplugs, and the amount of fuel injected on startup. These things were docey in the former 1.9 TDI frm what I read, and the ECU programming on these earlier engines was a major culprit of hard hot starting after they got some miles on them. You may find that simply disconnecting your coolant sensor and the problem will go away, and you need a new one.
The final problem may be the EGR flap is sticking due to the typical oil blowby sludge, and without a good supply of air, a diesel is going to struggle to start. It's an outlyer in my opinion, but as I see it happening so frequently, it could be an issue. When was the last time you cleaned the EGR valve??
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